Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 16.120802 18.374619 20.789102 23.563328 26.657895 29.998598 33.872816
2024-10-06 13.928565 17.187636 20.920464 25.492678 30.921154 37.138509 44.775276
2024-10-13 11.608012 15.425153 20.075651 26.112539 33.690728 42.833481 54.636864
2024-10-20 9.343766 13.341597 18.510047 25.598431 34.970898 46.831626 62.851263
2024-10-27 7.497160 11.477993 16.926484 24.798180 35.723266 50.170604 70.502580
2024-11-03 6.662614 10.853698 16.885967 26.005059 39.199653 57.312307 83.698413
2024-11-10 6.289777 10.830406 17.663585 28.411332 44.533198 67.383869 101.663106
2024-11-17 5.714682 10.396699 17.758697 29.794268 48.486218 75.801957 117.934511
2024-11-24 4.960444 9.546956 17.087155 29.901466 50.502013 81.526959 130.698759
2024-12-01 4.184763 8.529040 15.999465 29.196643 51.149628 85.201500 140.616482
2024-12-08 3.641294 7.831928 15.346575 29.104777 52.716128 90.332582 153.021817
2024-12-15 3.257629 7.368298 15.031675 29.530250 55.128913 96.908474 168.038520
2024-12-22 2.850147 6.805034 14.490147 29.542945 56.922776 102.746168 182.502281
2024-12-29 2.686438 6.716950 14.828687 31.185955 61.683997 113.796379 206.158403
2025-01-05 2.389225 6.289761 14.451395 31.444027 63.993810 120.877353 223.686493
2025-01-12 2.021289 5.633151 13.520184 30.521410 64.048660 124.067279 234.822331
2025-01-19 1.691742 4.998985 12.541535 29.379631 63.564598 126.239408 244.293857
2025-01-26 1.588632 4.906479 12.723549 30.634271 67.784376 137.097175 269.622212
2025-02-02 1.590573 5.087481 13.540191 33.305090 74.989555 153.821847 306.295635
2025-02-09 1.511393 5.035822 13.812025 34.820082 79.980707 166.716771 336.692702
2025-02-16 1.353430 4.733305 13.449201 34.892378 82.022299 174.171262 357.501972
2025-02-23 1.166751 4.306192 12.720504 34.051402 82.077803 177.807906 371.380598
2025-03-02 1.038527 4.026699 12.321168 33.923579 83.621025 184.396243 391.122435